New Zealand appoints WINSTON PETERS as Minister of Railways.Xie Yunliang, macro chief analyst of Cinda Securities, said that historically, the establishment of a "moderately loose" policy orientation needs to meet two major conditions, namely, the domestic pressure to stabilize prices is high and the foreign Federal Reserve is in a loose cycle. At present, it is judged that both situations may exist next year.Monetary policy has turned to "moderate easing", and experts say that it is expected to make greater efforts to lower the RRR and cut interest rates. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 changed the orientation of monetary policy from "steady" to "moderate easing" next year. Experts said that under the orientation of "moderate easing", the monetary policy space was further opened. In terms of total amount, it is more reasonable and sufficient to maintain liquidity; In terms of price, appropriately reducing the financing cost will better reflect the effectiveness of monetary policy. Next year, even greater RRR cuts and interest rate cuts can be expected. In addition to lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates, experts said that structural monetary policy tools, buying government bonds, open market buyout reverse repurchase and other operations are expected to continue to expand the scale, increase the frequency of use, and continuously enhance the effectiveness and pertinence of monetary policy. (CSI)
Guotai Junan: The bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. Guotai Junan Securities recently released the prospect of China's equity investment strategy in 2025, and the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. After a long period of continuous adjustment, pessimistic expectation and clear microstructure, it is a prerequisite for the stock market to have valuation flexibility. The positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.Nippon Steel's share price rose by 1.2% shortly after the opening on Wednesday, and it is basically flat at present. In the news, US President Biden plans to formally prevent Nippon Steel from acquiring American steel companies for $14.1 billion. American steel stocks plunged overnight, once falling by 22%, and finally closed down by 9.7%.Everbright Securities: It is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Everbright Securities reported on December 10 that with the introduction of preferential policies for car purchases by various auto companies at the end of the year and the continuous promotion of trade-in by local governments, it is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Recommend the big white horse bibcock of each subdivision track, and pay attention to the sales of new models in 2025E to achieve high flexibility. 2025E intelligence will continue to become a competitive highland in the industry, paying attention to intelligent theme investment opportunities.
Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.Japanese and Korean stock markets opened slightly lower, with the Nikkei 225 index down 0.02% at 39,357.77. South Korea's KOSPI index opened down 0.2% to 2,412.15 points.The reporter explored: optimizing the transaction structure, the second-hand housing has become a hot spot in the market. "After the recent new property market policy, especially the reduction of transaction tax burden such as value-added tax, the second-hand housing is particularly popular." A senior real estate agent manager in Jindaotian District, Luohu District, Shenzhen, told the reporter, "Take several shed-reformed communities here as an example. Recently, more than 20 second-hand houses can be sold in each community every month. The price is low, the house is new and the location belongs to the urban area, which is very suitable for those who just need to buy a home." According to the data of Shenzhen Zhongyuan Research Center, the unit price of second-hand houses in the range of 40,000 yuan to 60,000 yuan accounted for 32.1% in November, ranking first and the increase was the most obvious. The transaction of new houses with a "building age" of less than 10 years was the most active. The reporter found out that in the second-hand housing market in several key cities, the transactions of new second-hand houses with relatively new "building age" are more active. Take Tianhe Park, a plate with high popularity of second-hand houses in Guangzhou, as an example. According to shell data, 41 sets were sold in this plate in October, a significant increase of 127.8% from the previous month. According to Yan Yuejin, vice president of Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, the adjustment of tax policy will accelerate the listing of second-hand houses and good houses, which in turn will help buyers subscribe for second-hand houses and large-sized houses, which will have a positive effect on optimizing the transaction structure of second-hand houses and boosting second-hand housing transactions. (e company)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13